
| ITRInews | March 2001, No. 30 |
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R. D. Shelton, Editor: rds@itri2.org
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In This Issue of ITRInews
Research Famines: FY2002 S&T Budget of the New Administration
The S&T Plum List: Appointments and Rumors of Appointments
$450 Billion U.S. Merchandise
Trade Deficit in 2000: China Passes Japan
New S&T Evaluation Website by Ron Kostoff
Chinese Human Resource Contributions to U.S. S&T
Recent ITRI Reports and Encores
ITRI Alumni News
Steve Forrest
Bill Doane
Featured Organizations in International S&T:
APEC S&T Policy Research Center
JITEX
The International Technology Exchange
International Journal of Scientometrics, Informetrics
and Bibliometrics
Technology Transfer Site
International Holidays Database
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Research Famines: S&T Budget of the New Administration
President George W. Bush sent his FY 2002 budget blueprint to Congress
on February 28. The total increase in spending for general science,
space, and technology in NSF, NASA, and the DOE Office of Science
is $300 million, from $20.9 billion in FY 2001 to $21.2 billion in FY 2002.
This is an increase of 1.4%, well below the forecast inflation rate, resulting
in a real decrease -- compared to the whopping increases of the last Clinton
budget. For example, the last Congress approved an $529 billion increase
in the NSF budget for the current FY2001; the Bush Administration is requesting
an increase of only $56 million for next year. Partly because of
an error in the blueprint, the S&T components for most other agencies
are not so clear (http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/usbudget/blueprint/budtoc.html
), but the National Institutes of Health is the only civilian
science agency scheduled to receive a real increase in funding with a request
of $23.1 billion, a 14% increase over FY2001. This may well be the
year that the Rs finally have their way in "suspending" the Advanced Technology
Program that was protected by Bill Clinton. FYI makes what
deductions can be made. http://www.aip.org/gov
The S&T Plum List: Appointments and Rumors of
Appointments Perhaps one reason that R&D is not fairing
so well in the Bush budget is that there is apparently no one in charge
of S&T for the Administration. Just after the inauguration in January,
rumors flew that Charles Vest of MIT or Marye Anne Fox of NCSU would be
tapped as the President's Science Advisor, or even that the Office of Science
and Technology Policy (OSTP) would be scrapped. Now there is even
a dearth of rumors. I did surf the main research agencies to see
who the caretakers are; many have blanks where the top officials' pix should
be.
| Vacant
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Director, Office of Science and Technology Policy |
OSTP seems to be on auto pilot. The website lists the director and associate director jobs as simply vacant, without mention of acting heads. The last item posted under "What's New" dates from January 15. http://www.ostp.gov/html/OSTP_insideostp.html |
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At the Department of Commerce, the homepages of both the Undersecretary for Technology Administration (in charge of NIST, NTIS, and OTP) and the Deputy Undersecretary consist solely of the gif at the left. The last Undersecretary, Cheryl Shavers, seems to have left in January. http://www.ta.doc.gov/WATCH.htm |
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The last director, Millie Dresselhaus, went back to MIT on February 15. James Decker, Principal Deputy Director, is now the senior manager at the DOE Office of Science. http://www.science.doe.gov/sub/leaders_org/leader.htm |
Rita Colwell remains director of the NSF. Another (apparently
false) rumor in February had her being replaced, despite the years to run
on her term (to 2004).
http://www.nsf.gov/od/lpa/forum/colwell/rrcbio.htm
Ruth Kirschstein has been the NIH acting director since the departure
of Harold Varmus in January of 2000. Dr. Kirschstein received her M.D.
in 1951 from Tulane University. http://www.nih.gov/about/director/rkbio.htm
Dan Goldin continues as NASA's longest serving Administrator, starting in 1992 during the original Bush Administration. Perhaps other administrators should try the panegyric approach on his site: http://www.nasa.gov/bios/dan_goldin.html
Karen Brown is acting as director of the National Institute of Standards and Technology. Brown came to NIST as deputy director in January 1999. Previously she was at IBM Microelectronics. http://www.nist.gov/director/bios/kbrown.htm
The military S&T chiefs are not usually so impacted by a change in Administration. The incumbents are:
Hans Mark is the Director of Defense Research and Engineering, chief
technical advisor to the Secretary of Defense and the Under
Secretary of Defense for Acquisition and Technology on defense research,
development, test and evaluation (RDT&E). http://www.dtic.mil/ddre/bios/mark.html
Delores Etter is the Deputy Director of Defense Research and Engineering and is also the Deputy Under Secretary of Defense for Science and Technology. http://www.dtic.mil/ddre/bios/etter.html
Jane Alexander is Acting Director of the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency. She is also Deputy Director of DARPA, which is the principal agency within DoD for research, development, and demonstration. Earlier Dr. Alexander was a Program Analyst with the Office of Technology Assessment and served as Legislative Assistant to then-Senator Al Gore from 1986 to 1987. http://www.darpa.mil/body/alexander.htm
Jay Cohen is Chief of Naval Research, commanding the Office of Naval Research (ONR), which manages the S&T programs of the Navy and Marine Corps. RADM Cohen also is Director, Test and Evaluation and Technology Requirements, and Deputy Commandant (S&T), Headquarters, U.S. Marine Corps. http://www.onr.navy.mil/onr/cohen.htm
Joseph Janni is director of the Air Force Office of Scientific Research
(AFOSR) in Arlington, VA, which manages the USAF basic research program
. Dr. Janni leads a staff of 144 scientists, engineers, and administrative
personnel with a $300M budget. http://afosr.sciencewise.com/afr/afo/any/text/any/afrtbio.htm
Jim C. I. Chang is the Army Research Laboratory (ARL) Deputy Director
for Basic Science and the Director of the Army Research Office (ARO). Dr.
Chang is the senior S&T executive charged with oversight of the ARL
basic research (6.1) program. The ARL is the Army's corporate laboratory
with many sites throughout the U.S. The ARL has 2000 employees and a budget
of $670 million. http://www.aro.army.mil/director/chang2.htm
The last three military S&T agencies have foreign technology offices
in London and Tokyo.
$450 Billion U.S. Merchandise
Trade Deficit in 2000: China Passes Japan with Greatest Surplus The
goods and services deficit in 2000 was $369.7 billion.
The deficit was 3.7 % of GDP, the highest percentage on record. For goods
(merchandise) alone, the deficit was $449.5 billion
in 2000, up 30% over 1999 and by far the highest on record. The goods deficit
with China increased from $68.7 billion in
1999 to $83.8 billion in 2000. Exports increased
$3.1 billion (primarily oil seeds and computers and computer products)
to $16.3 billion, while imports increased $18.3 billion (primarily computers
and computer products; telecommunications equipment; and toys, games, and
sporting goods) to $100.1 billion. The goods deficit with Japan increased
from $73.4 billion in 1999 to $81.3
billion in 2000. Exports increased $7.8 billion (primarily electrical
machinery and computers and computer products) to $65.3 billion, while
imports increased $15.7 billion (primarily automobiles and automobile parts
and electrical machinery) to $146.6 billion. The goods deficit with Western
Europe increased from $47.0 billion in 1999
to $59.8 billion in 2000. Exports increased
$15.3 billion (primarily electrical machinery) to $181.3 billion, while
imports increased $28.1 billion (primarily petroleum and petroleum products
and organic chemicals) to $241.0 billion. [I use red to make clear that
these are deficits, and because I for one think this is a serious problem.]
http://www.census.gov/indicator/www/ustrade.html
New S&T Evaluation Website Ronald
Kostoff of the ONR has created a website for S&T management decision
aids for global Technology Watch and S&T Evaluation (TW/STE). It includes
links to TW/STE Web sites and summaries of current TW/STE events.
At the moment it mostly has links to his own voluminous writings on the
subject, but others are invited to contribute. He was kind enough to include
several links from ITRI. http://www.onr.navy.mil/sci_tech/special/technowatch/
Chinese Human Resource Contributions to U.S. S&T
NSF/SRS Issue Brief 01-311 by Jean Johnson. The many foreign-born
scientists and engineers make contributions even in excess of their numbers
to U.S. science, including membership in S&E academies, publication
of highly cited research, and the founding of innovative companies.
China particularly contributes to U.S. scientific personnel with many graduate
students and a high proportion of doctoral recipients who remain in the
U.S.. China is among the top six countries of origin of scientists and
engineers employed in the U. S. Although the number of Chinese doctoral
recipients declined in 1997 and rose only slightly in 1998—possibly due
to the increased capacity for graduate education in China—more than 21,600
Chinese earned S&E doctorates at U.S. universities over the 1986-98
period. During this period, Chinese students earned 7.5 percent of
all S&E doctorates in U.S. universities. Chinese students earned 13
percent of the physical science and 15 percent of the mathematics doctorates
awarded from 1988-96. http://www.nsf.gov/sbe/srs/issuebrf/nsf01311/sib01311.htm
Recent ITRI Reports Two final reports
have recently been completed and posted in .pdf format.
Asian Electronics Manufacturing Update:
This study was chaired by Bill Boulton of Auburn University. One
key finding was that the Chinese and Hong Kong electronics manufacturing
sector has made great progress though technology transfer from the U.S.,
Japan and Europe plus rapidly improving local efforts. http://itri2.org/ttec/aemu/report/index.htm
High Temperature Electronics in Europe: This
study was chaired by Vladimir Dmitriev of TDI Corporation. European
researchers were found to be leading those in the U.S. in SiC devices.
In an earlier study, the same panel found that Japan led the U.S. in GaN
device research. http://itri2.org/ttec/hte_e/report/
Encores: ITRI, Inc. is likely to conduct
encore studies of both fields in the spring of 2001. A study of telecommunications
in China, HK, and Taiwan, chaired by Magdy Iskander of the University of
Utah, is already underway; it is a encore of a 1999 ITRI wireless study
in Japan and Europe. China's vast potential market for wireless is driving
development of worldwide standards by global telecom giants, and R&D
in the region is coming to play an increasingly important role.
http://itri2.org/telecom/
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ITRI ALUMNI NEWS
ITRI recruits distinguished scientists and engineers for its panels.
Some more examples:
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Stephen R. Forrest is chair of the EE Department
at Princeton University and Director of the Center for Photonics and Optoelectronic
Materials. In 1996-97, he was the recipient of the IEEE/LEOS Distinguished
Lecturer Award, and in 1998 he was co-recipient of IPO's Distinguished
Inventor Award for organic LEDs. He is a member of the APS, MRS and the
OSA, and is a Fellow of the IEEE. http://www.ee.princeton.edu/people/Forrest.php3
Dr. Forrest chaired our 1996 study on optoelectonics in Japan and the U. S. http://www.itri.loyola.edu/opto/toc.htm |
Dr. Doane served on our 1992 study of displays in Japan, and chaired our 1994 study of displays in the former Soviet Union. http://www.itri.loyola.edu/displays/toc.htm
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FEATURED ORGANIZATIONS THIS MONTH
APEC S&T Policy Research Center To develop knowledge of the role of science, technology and innovation and taking into account the enormous diversity across the APEC member economies, Chinese Taipei proposed to develop a research network for cooperation on S&T policy research within the APEC community. In 1995, the proposal for establishing such as network was endorsed by the APEC Ministers’ Conference on Regional Science and Technology Cooperation in Beijing. Chinese Taipei set up a virtual center for Science and Technology Policy Research (STPRC) in 1997. The site has a clearinghouse of international S&T policy organizations http://www.apec-stprc.org/l2menu/l2about.htm
JITEX provides clients international research on business opportunities in developed markets, in a wide range of subject areas. They provide reports, on market surveys, technology assessments, and strategy analyses for corporations of all sizes who are in technical fields, like energy, environment and transportation. The have offices in Tokyo, Paris, and Montreal. http://www.jitex.com/presentation/over.htm
The International Technology Exchange website provides a means for technology companies to exchange information about their new technologies. Companies can easily search for other companies that have similar technologies or that are looking for partnerships and contact them via email. ITX provides the space to bring technology companies together. Their physical manifestation is in Perth, Australia http://www.technologyxchange.com/
International Journal of Scientometrics, Informetrics and Bibliometrics has a directory of electronic journals, newsletters and academic discussion lists including a link to ITRInews. http://www.cindoc.csic.es/cybermetrics/links04.html
Technology Transfer Site yet2.com is the marketplace for licensable technologies from all over the world. According the them, they "help you make non-intuitive connections to buyers from places you never thought of looking. Now you can avoid costly R&D processes, increase speed-to-market, and maximize R&D profitability." http://www.yet2.com/PSUser/y2_home.htm
International Holidays Have you ever traveled
on business, only to find on arrival that everyone is on holiday or that
instead of five days work, you will, due to national or religious celebrations,
get only two. Check out this site before you schedule your trip or study
tour. http://www.holidayfestival.com/
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Copyright © 2001 ITRI, Inc. ITRI, Inc. or its sponsors do not accept responsibility for the accuracy of information. Comments to rds@itri2.org please.
HTML versions are at: http://itri2.org/ITRInews/
| DATE | FEATURE ARTICLE | URL |
| Aug 98 | Left Hand/Right Hand: NSF and NAS Both Assess US Math Research | http://itri.loyola.edu/NEWS/ITRInews1.htm |
| Sep 98 | The Y1.998K Problem: Y2K Arrives 0.002K Early. Markets Crash, PMs Fired, Orioles 31 Games Behind | http://itri.loyola.edu/NEWS/ITRInews2.htm |
| Oct 98 | Is S&T to Blame for the Asian Financial Crisis? | http://itri.loyola.edu/NEWS/ITRInews3.htm |
| Nov 98 | NRC to State: Ignoring S&T is Ignorant | http://itri.loyola.edu/NEWS/ITRInews4.htm |
| Dec 98/Jan 99 | The Bottom Line: US Trade Deficit Skyrockets | http://itri.loyola.edu/NEWS/ITRInews5.htm |
| Feb 99 | Who's the Bear, and Who's the Bull? Japan Doubles R&D; The US Cuts It | http://justice.loyola.edu/~rds/ITRInews6.html |
| Mar 99 | Who's On First? (US, But Not for Long) | http://justice.loyola.edu/~rds/ITRInews7.html |
| Apr 99 | GPRA Metastasizes Abroad | http://justice.loyola.edu/~rds/ITRInews8.html |
| May/Jun 99 | Teraflops Computers Meet Gates' Law | http://justice.loyola.edu/~rds/ITRInews9.html |
| July 99 | More Good News / Bad News from the Academy | http://justice.loyola.edu/~rds/ITRInews10.html |
| Aug 99 | Rep. George Brown Adjourns | http://justice.loyola.edu/~rds/ITRInews11.html |
| Sep 99 | 200GB Disk: 40 Films on One CD | http://justice.loyola.edu/~rds/ITRInews12.html |
| Oct 99 | Is International S&T Assessment Needed? | http://justice.loyola.edu/~rds/ITRInews13.html |
| Nov 99 | Output in Papers: We're Number One? | http://justice.loyola.edu/~rds/ITRInews14.html |
| Dec 99 / Jan 00 | New Technology Czar(ina) | http://justice.loyola.edu/~rds/ITRInews15.html |
| Feb 00 | S&T: Ready for Prime Time? | http://justice.loyola.edu/~rds/ITRInews16.html |
| Mar 00 | Bottom Line II: Trade Deficit Skyrocket Explodes | http://justice.loyola.edu/~rds/ITRInews17.html |
| Apr 00 | Who's Getting U.S. Patents? | http://justice.loyola.edu/~rds/ITRInews18.html |
| May 00 | Think That Government is Investing More in Research? Think Again. | http://justice.loyola.edu/~rds/ITRInews19.html |
| Jun 00 | American Leadership of S&T: Reality or Myth? | http://justice.loyola.edu/~rds/ITRInews20.html |
| Jul 00 | Science and Engineering Indicators 2000 Released by NSF | http://justice.loyola.edu/~rds/ITRInews21.html |
| Aug 00 | Pale Green Manufacturing: US is 3rd out of 3 | http://justice.loyola.edu/~rds/ITRInews22.html |
| Aug 00 (Extra) | Americans Like Being No. 1 and Want to Keep It That Way | http://itri2.org/ITRInews/ITRInews23.html |
| Sept 00 | Industry Leads U.S. R&D | http://itri2.org/ITRInews/ITRInews24.html |
| Oct 00 | Gingrich Praises Clinton | http://itri2.org/ITRInews/ITRInews25.html |
| Nov 00 | Research Feasts: FY2001 Budgets | http://itri2.org/ITRInews/ITRInews26.html |
| Dec 00 | S&T Policy of the Bush Administration | http://itri2.org/ITRInews/ITRInews27.html |
| Jan 01 | Andreessen's Law for the Internet | http://itri2.org/ITRInews/ITRInews28.html |
| Feb 01 | Rep. Boehlert -- New Science Committee Chair | http://itri2.org/ITRInews/ITRInews29.html |
| Mar 01 | Research Famines: FY2002 Budgets | http://itri2.org/ITRInews/ITRInews30.html |